Patience really is a virtue

The markets have been anticipating the FOMC minutes that Ben Bernanke will be delivering tonight like vultures circling their prey. Tight ranges and low volumes have been apparent across the major pairs. Correlations in the markets have been going in and out of flux, leaving day traders lethargic and restrained. Traders have noted that sharp and sudden moves have been sighted as the institutional traders adjust their positions running into tonight’s meeting. Long term positions will be readjusted after Bernanke begins to deliver the eagerly anticipated news on the outlook of the Quantitative Easing program. Analysts expect that the QE3 program will be adjusted by the end of the summer, however questions have been raised as to whether it may be done sooner. Perhaps they meant the English summer. There is talk that the minutes that Bernanke presents will be less transparent than compared to previous announcements, as the FOMC regularly uses opacity as a tool to soften blows. If this method is employed then heavy volatility is expected from the onset and to carry on for the rest of the week.Tomorrow is set to offer large amounts of tier 2 data from the UK, US and the Eurozone. However traders will remain vigilant as the impact of the data may be magnified/softened in the wake of the FOMC minutes.Consolidation across the major pairs  (TP)

Markets consolidate within relatively tight ranges.

Euro/USD: Very limited action to report for this pairing with prices remaining trapped within the confines of a relatively tight trading range all day. Rally attempts were restricted by resistance in the 1.3411 area with weakness being cushioned by support at 1.3385. This rather boring session finally closed around 1.3393.

GBP/USD: The GBP also experienced relatively quiet market conditions today with rally attempts being restrained by resistance at 1.5677 and support around 1.5604 cushioning any bouts of weakness. The European session finally closed in and around the 1.5662 region.

Euro/JPY: The Euro corrected recent gains today and after opening in the 12795 area values slipped southwards to challenge support in the 12705 zone. The afternoon then saw values track sideways around these lower levels to finally close in and around the 12728 region.

GBP/Euro: After initial GBP strength had been restricted by resistance in the 1.1695 area values slipped mid-morning to test the 1.1655 zone. However, fresh buying interest lifted values once more with the European session finally closing in and around the1.1690 region.

Daily Forex Sentiment Index | 18-06-13

Daily Forex Sentiment Index for 18th June 2013 - Vantage FX

Daily Forex Sentiment Index for 18th June 2013 – Vantage FX

The biggest shifts in yesterday’s trading both involved the USD as it gained strength against EUR and JPY. This was reflected in the Daily Currency Strength which shows USD still behind but catching up with the other three currencies…

How To Use Trendlines: Part 2 | Forex Chart Analysis

Today’s video on Trendlines looks at how Trend Channels and the Andrews Pitchfork indicator should be plotted correctly.

The EUR/USD maintains the trend channel, what will break it?

Today we have seen a tumultuous day across the board for the major pairs, where analysts had expected dulcet tones and tight ranges across the markets. How wrong they were. Sleeping giants were woken and descended on the markets, where attention was focused on the EUR/GBP, encouraging a powerful rally. This left many traders on the other markets stunned as the EUR/USD and GBP/USD lost their correlation, leaving waves of heavy volume in their wake. The Dollar showed strength against the Sterling and the Yen, however it was outshone by the Euro.

Given the trading ranges that have been developing throughout the course of the trading day, this may leave room for retracements. Notably the EUR/USD has maintained an upward trend channel, however breakouts from the other pairs held in this sideways trance may provide the fuel for the fire in tomorrow’s trading day.

The star of the show tomorrow will be the FOMC minutes after the US rate decision, which will see Bernanke taking the hot seat. The European session will take its lead from the BOE minutes.

(TP)

The GBP falls heavily while the Euro enjoys a positive session.

Euro/USD: From an opening in the 1.3365 area the Euro initially slipped a little to challenge support in the 1.3326 region. However fresh buying interest was uncovered here and values rebounded strongly to the 1.3400 zone where resistance was uncovered and the market fell away once more to the 1.3337 level. Once again prices recovered with the European session finally closing near to the peaks in and around 1.3389.

GBP/USD: The GBP had a bad day today and after opening at 1.5718 values fell away almost immediately. While light support was uncovered at 1.5662 this proved to be only temporary as once this gave way prices accelerated to a low point of 1.5565 where some short covering caused a small bounce late in the afternoon. The European session finally closed in and around the 1.5616 zone.

Euro/JPY: The Euro improved significantly against the JPY today and after opening in the 12639 area values headed north almost immediately. This strength continued throughout the balance of the session with the market closing in and around the day’s peaks of 12808.

GBP/Euro: The GBP fell away sharply against the Euro today and after a brief period of consolidation in and around the opening levels of 1.1762 values then dropped throughout the balance of the session with support only finally emerging late in the afternoon at 1.1648. The European day finally came to a close in the 1.1655 region.

Daily Forex Sentiment Index | 17-06-13

Daily Forex Sentiment for 17th June 2013 - Vantage FX

Daily Forex Sentiment for 17th June 2013 – Vantage FX

Sentiment from yesterday saw some big movements from Friday’s, with GBP/JPY swinging massively from 85% sell to 88% buy. The strength of the Japanese Yen also dropped overall by nearly half, going from 80 down to 43, with EUR and GBP picking up most and USD still lagging behind.

How To Use Trendlines: Part 1 | Forex Chart Analysis

Today sees the beginning of a new chart analysis series! This week we’re looking at Trendlines, and to start the week we’re going back to basics…

Abenomics | Forex Market Wrap

This week’s video market wrap looks back at a big week for Japan and a mixed week for sterling…

Easy come, easy go

Monday has been a tumultuous day for the major pairs with the Sterling debuting the week with an uphill struggle. Meanwhile the Dollar quickly regained lost ground as traders found comfort in the Greenback later on in the day. The Euro remained well balanced and ambled along with a tight price balance, and with this range built throughout the day analysts still expect the 1.34 mark will be tested before the 1.33 mark. The Yen also remained subdued against the Dollar throughout the European and American trading session, but the Asian session may bring some good volume as traders digest the moves made by the other correlated markets.The main upcoming news of the week is Wednesday’s FOMC meeting in the US where Ben Bernanke will give us a snapshot of the US economy. Many traders eagerly await the news as the information shared by Bernanke could define market activity. Tomorrow features some inflation data for the US and the UK. Will the cost of living in the UK be increasing?Inverse Head and shoulders on the Dollar/Yen? (TP)